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David Tepper’s 3 Biggest Bets in The Second Quarter: Buy, Sell or Hold?

David Tepper’s 3 Biggest Bets in The Second Quarter: Buy, Sell or Hold?

Vandita JadejaTue, August 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM UTC

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Quick Read -

TSM's 36% revenue growth and AI demand runway through 2030 make it Tepper's strongest bet versus AAPL's stretched 40x P/E.

CoreWeave doubled revenue but burned nearly $6B in free cash flow, making its 47% year-to-date rally a compelling exit point.

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David Tepper's Appaloosa Management disclosed three especially large positions in its second-quarter filing, and at today's prices we see the setups differently across Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) at $305.93, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE:TSM) at $426.35, and CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV) at $105.26, with the risk/reward tilting cautious, constructive, and skeptical respectively.

Scott Cunningham / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

Tepper's trio spans consumer tech, foundry monopoly, and speculative AI infrastructure, and the risk/reward at current levels is very different for each.

Apple: Priced for Perfection After a Tariff-Boosted Quarter

The bull case is real. Fiscal Q3 revenue hit $109.42 billion, up 16.4% year over year, iPhone jumped to $54.25 billion, and Services set a June-quarter record at $30.74 billion. Tim Cook called it Apple's "strongest June quarter ever", and management is deploying a $100 billion buyback authorization on top of $62.09B already repurchased through nine months.

The bear case is stretched valuation and a low-quality tailwind. Apple trades at a P/E of about 40, gross margin got a roughly 2-point one-time boost from tariff refunds, and Cook warned of a "100-year flood on the memory pricing" that will pressure September margins.

Greater China revenue slipped to $18.82B from $20.50B sequentially, and shares are down 6.5% over the past month even as they hold a 31.91% one-year gain that tops the S&P 500's broader advance. Siri AI is the swing factor. The setup looks range-bound until the memory reset and holiday iPhone data clear the air.

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Taiwan Semiconductor: Structural AI Demand Supports the Multiple

TSMC's Q2 was a standout. Revenue rose 36% year over year to $40.20 billion, EPS came in at $4.31 versus $3.89 expected, and gross margin expanded to 67.7%.

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Advanced nodes at 7nm and below now account for 77% of wafer revenue, and management guided full-year 2026 growth slightly above 40% in USD while raising capex to $60 billion to $64 billion. CEO Cici Wei said AI demand runs "all the way to probably 2029, 2030".

Yes, Q3 gross margin guidance of 65% to 67% reflects 2nm ramp dilution, and Taiwan Strait risk never disappears. But shares are up 41% year to date and 78.82% over one year, comfortably ahead of the S&P 500, and the multiple is supported by pricing power on nodes no rival can produce. Tepper's thesis here looks the cleanest of the three.

TSM Analyst Ratings — 24/7 Wall St.CoreWeave: A Leveraged AI Landlord Facing a Rally

CoreWeave's Q2 revenue doubled to $2.575 billion with a jaw-dropping $104 billion revenue backlog, and Nasdaq-100 inclusion has fueled a 36.49% one-month rally. Bulls love the 59% adjusted EBITDA margin and the Meta and OpenAI commitments.

The capital structure complicates the story. Q2 capex hit $6.42 billion, free cash flow was negative $5.74 billion, net loss widened to $626 million, and interest expense reached $640 million. Debt-to-equity sits at 8.94 with net debt/EBITDA of 10.75.

Any hiccup in AI capex, customer concentration, or credit spreads breaks the model. Year-to-date the stock is up 46.99%, well above the S&P 500, giving holders a strong exit. At $105.26, the risk/reward for CoreWeave looks skewed against holders here.

Analyst price targets are one input among many, and Tepper's filings lag reality. Position the trio for what the fundamentals say now.

Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Apple didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.

Contact editorial@247wallst.com for any questions or corrections.

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Source: “AOL Money”

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